Monday, October 5, 2015

Shutdown Corner NFL Power Rankings: Which 4-0 team could miss playoffs? (Shutdown Corner)

Since 1990, NFL teams that start 4-0 make the playoffs 83 percent of the time . So the teams that have made it through the first quarter of the season without a loss are in great shape. It also means that one of every six 4-0 teams does not make the playoffs. There are six undefeated teams in the NFL right now (we'll use the 3-0 New England Patriots in the 4-0 group as well, for fun).  So if, by history, one of the six is going to miss the playoffs, which team is most likely to miss the party? [ Play Yahoo Daily Fantasy and get a 100% deposit bonus with your first deposit ] We can probably cross the Patriots and Green Bay Packers off the list quickly. Only a quarterback injury is keeping then out, and even then they might have a shot at sneaking in. The Denver Broncos? It seems impossible that they'll go on a long losing streak with that defense. Even if their wins have all been relatively close, I don't see them losing seven games. The Cincinnati Bengals have to be considered. They've played very well, but Andy Dalton's play has turned on a dime before, and it could again with the Bengals' fortunes going with him. I'm on board with the Bengals being for real , but come on, nobody would be too surprised if they totally fall apart.  Are we positive the Atlanta Falcons are a postseason lock? They're playing pretty well, though they did need two big comebacks against the Cowboys and Giants and barely held on against an Eagles rally in Week 1. They look good but they shouldn't start printing playoff tickets yet. But if we have to pick one of The Undefeated Six to miss the playoffs, it has to be the Carolina Panthers. Are you totally sold? Cam Newton is carrying a huge load on his shoulders, and doing it tremendously well. But the Panthers seem really vulnerable to injuries, especially on the offense. They're already thin at the skill positions. The Panthers have won games against teams quarterbacked by Blake Bortles, Ryan Mallett, Luke McCown and Jameis Winston. And the Panthers have been out-gained by those opponents 1,356-1,288. They have had two road games, but both short trips to Florida. Credit to them for handling business to this point, but the road hasn't been very tough. If you're going to say that one of the six teams will fit right into the 17 percent of 4-0 teams that doesn't make the playoffs, the obvious choice is the Panthers. There's more reason to be skeptical of them than the other five. Here are Shutdown Corner's power rankings after Week 4: 32. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3, Last week: 30) Sunday's game was a really scary one for the Jaguars, as it pertains to Blake Bortles. The Colts begged the Jaguars to win that game, but Bortles was not good enough to make the plays necessary to get it done. It doesn't mean Bortles isn't going to be a good quarterback. But Sunday was a bit alarming. 31. Chicago Bears (1-3, LW: 32) A nice win. There will be other days to wonder if or how that affected their 2016 draft status. But you don't wanna be stuck on zero too long. 30. San Francisco 49ers (1-3, LW: 28)

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